Catastrophic Success
John on December 17, 2009 at 7:38 am
Matthew Dowd writes in today’s Washington Post:
Congressional Democrats and Obama are headed toward a “catastrophic success” politically if they pass health-care reform in its current legislative form. And catastrophic success was a term then-President Bush used on Iraq when he acknowledged the great initial victory but didn’t take into account the long-term calamity and costs.
[...]
At present, a majority of Americans are against the effort, the legislation lacks bipartisan support, the costs of the reforms are upfront, and the benefits won’t kick in until after the 2012 elections. When has that ever been a formula for political success?
If this legislation passes, Democrats will be held accountable for any failures or problems in the system. So if Americans’ insurance premiums rise, they will blame the Democrats. If patients have to wait in line at emergency rooms, it will be seen as the Democrats’ fault. If health-care costs don’t drop, the Democrats will face the wrath of the electorate.
Like I was saying…Pyrrhic victory.
Category: Health & Education |


“If this legislation passes, Democrats will be held accountable for any failures or problems in the system.”
This seems a bit optimistic. They’ll find a way to spin it so that the GOP is at least partly responsible (e.g., they didn’t engage with us), and the GOP will probably flub the defense.
December 17, 2009 @ 7:58 amIn the run-up to the 2010 elections, all the republicans have to do is run commercials with video of the many times when Obama made assurance after assurance that costs wouldn’t go up, etc., etc. Then show clips of the many republican and conservative warnings as to what would happen if the dems passed their legislation.
When the dems try to spin it, with the only line of manure possible; “well, costs would have gone higher, if we hadn’t passed reform” it will ring hollow. Independents and moderates will rightly feel that all the dems managed to do is make things much worse.
By 2012, they’ll have hoisted themselves upon their own ‘petard’ so high that not even the MSM will be able to pull their bacon out of the fire of public opinion.
December 17, 2009 @ 9:34 am[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Verum Serum, Bad Mayo. Bad Mayo said: Catastrophic Success – HealthCare passing will be pyrrhic victory for dems http://bit.ly/6X8SSY #tcot #ocra [...]
December 17, 2009 @ 10:31 am